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In reply to the discussion: Trump Tells Aides to Prepare for Extended Blockade of Iran [View all]Bluetus
(3,006 posts)The prices in my area have been volatile since the beginning of this Trump/Netanyau war. They sat above $4 for a few weeks, then spent nearly a month around $3.50. But suddenly this week, they all shot up to nearly $5 for regular. I believe that is the > $100/bbl field prices working their way through the system. And it is also the oil companies deciding the market would likely be > $100 for months.
As I write this, Brent is hitting $115. And note, none of those comes from the Persian Gulf in normal times. But the prices are fungible globally. And that is not just a theoretical thing. You can bet that Europe and the Pac Rim are looking to buy oil from wherever they can, even it it involves a lot of shipping.
It is worth examining the fact that Trump first hit Venezuela, right before closing down the Strait of Hormuz. You can bet those two events are connected. Where is the Venezuelan oil going, and what cut is Trump taking off the top?