Pennsylvania

Shapiro is from the Philly suburbs while Fetterman was born in south Central PA, went to college in southeast PA, and lives in western PA.
Oz never actually lived in PA even when he went to Penn (lived in NJ). Mastriano moved to PA in the last decade or so and still was registered to vote in NJ until last year.
Looking at things from a purely objective angle, Oz and Mastriano started off behind the eight ball because they basically have no roots in PA.
The national pundits don't seem to realize that the two major Democratic candidates are homegrown Pennsylvanians while the GOP candidates are Jersey boys, with Oz being born in Ohio and growing up in Delaware.