Pennsylvania

Keep in mind this is only a poll and not the real thing; but I'd rather be up 3% than down 3% at this stage.

Erie and Northampton may be bellwethers (indicators), but the real question will be how much of a Democratic cushion will voters in Philadelphia, Allegheny and Montgomery counties provide to counter weigh all the Republican vote surpluses in just about every other county in the Commonwealth. Democrats only win about a dozen of Pennsylvania's 67 counties. Though most Pennsylvania counties have less than 20k total votes in them.

Time will tell, hopefully enough results will be in to call Pennsylvania sometime in the early morning hours of Wednesday following the election.