Berks County, PA 2024 Election Preview [View all]

Just summarizing some past/current vote statistics for tomorrow. Berks County is located in SE PA about 30 miles NW of Philadelphia. Will post results as I can tomorrow night/Wednesday morning.

Thoughts: Berks County voter registration is about even; Rep registration +10k. Pretty sure all county level offices are held by Republicans. I'd say Berks County is lean Republican. Heavy hispanic population in the City of Reading but voter participation in the city is generally less than participation in other parts of the county. I'd say if Trump nets over 20k votes, then he's doing better than he did in 2016 and by default 2020. Biden carried the Commonwealth by 81,660 votes so if Trump gets +5k improvement in votes in Berks County compared to 2020, it would be significant. Pennsylvania will be close and has been trending Republican as far as the voter registration numbers since 2020.


Voter Stats from PA Department of State, Previous Election from Berks County Election Services

2024 Voter Registration (4 Nov 2024):
Total: 276,805
Dem: 108,998
Rep: 118,842
No Affiliation: 37,675
Other: 11,290


2020 POTUS:
Total Registered Voters: 272,192
Total Ballots Cast: 208,010
Voter Turnout: 76.42%
Trump +16,810


2016 POTUS:
Total Ballots Cast: 184,085
Trump: +18,189