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muriel_volestrangler

(102,483 posts)

8. Quite notable demographic splits by now

Reply to muriel_volestrangler (Original post)

Tue Jun 6, 2017, 07:29 AM

Jun 2017

Take this Survation poll: http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/Final-MoS-Post-BBC-Event-Poll-020617SWCH-1c0d4h9.pdf and the "weighted and likely to vote" figure from table 4:

Men: Con 45.6% Lab 31.4%
Women: Con 34.1% Lab 47%

18-34: Con 24.4% Lab 57.1%
35-54: Con 32.3% Lab 45%
55+: Con 56% Lab 23%

and the region with the largest Tory lead over Labour is ... Wales! (A small sample there, so maybe not reliable. The Plaid vote has collapsed in this poll - just 4 out of 57 surveyed). After that, their next largest lead is in the Midlands, not the South.

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General election 2017: How reliable are the polls? [View all] muriel_volestrangler Jun 2017 OP

I've seen this election described as "an experiment" by various pollsters. Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #1

Are they still using the famed Swingometer? sandensea Jun 2017 #2

What they'll drag out this time, I have no idea muriel_volestrangler Jun 2017 #3

Thank you, Muriel, for that very informed and thorough reply. sandensea Jun 2017 #4

Things didn't go so well when they tried other methods: Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #5

That there Jeremy Vine sounds - and shoots - like a regular good ol' boy. sandensea Jun 2017 #6

This message was self-deleted by its author Denzil_DC Jun 2017 #7

Quite notable demographic splits by now muriel_volestrangler Jun 2017 #8

I'm reading reports saying "the young won't turn up to vote", Matilda Jun 2017 #9

You have to think about all the people who don't go to rallies T_i_B Jun 2017 #10

Voting Labour Dworkin Jun 2017 #11

Strangely enough..... T_i_B Jun 2017 #12

Tactical voting Dworkin Jun 2017 #13

The main person responsible for the Tories winning where I am is the outgoing Labour MP. T_i_B Jun 2017 #14

Replacing Clegg with Labour's Jared O'Mara has not worked out at all T_i_B Oct 2017 #15

Jared O'Mara has resigned from Labour T_i_B Jul 2018 #16