United Kingdom

https://images.app.goo.gl/Ug8zyv73xuLvWRzLA

and they come with the annoying (and statistically dubious, in my constituency) bar charts of "It's Labour or X here - Y can't win". In the North Cornwall leaflet at the link, they claim the Lib Dems can't win (I've no idea if that's true); in mine, they claim the Tories can't win, despite them have won (under old or new boundaries) in from 2015-2019.

They seem to have derived the claim they can shoot past the Tories from claiming they would have come 2nd in 1017 under the redrawn boundaries - dubious, since Electoral Calculus converts a 2019 real result of Con 55%, LibDem 29%, Lab 13% to 52%, 34% and 11%, ie Con -3%, LibDem +5%, Lab -2%. The real 2017 result was Con 50%, LibDem 26%, Lab 20%.

Labour are claiming current polls predict LibDem 31%, Lab 27%, Con 20%, Reform 15%. I have no idea how they make that work. Electoral Calculus predict LibDem 34%, Con 26%, Lab 25%, Reform 11%.