Last edited Thu Feb 16, 2012, 08:21 AM - Edit history (2)
However, this poll shows that Warren has not had her message communicated to people in MA, in particular the unenrolled. For all the questions concerning the middle class (her trademark), Brown is ahead or tied, and this despite Brown's votes. It is fairly clear that Brown gets not only the GOP, but a majority of the unenrolled and way too many of the dems (there are many conservative dems in MA). And he creams her on " has deep roots in MA": she has only be married with her husband for 20 years.
Now, I expect she will catch up when she will actually campaign, but what we see here is the result of the lack of primary, which would have introduced her to the public at large. Because you are known by the DSCC crowd and liberal circles does not make you known to all. In addition, once again, a fairly moderate candidate has been mischaracterized by our own side.
An other interesting tidbits from David Berstein, that I respect a lot for his knowledge of Massachusetts politics:
http://blog.thephoenix.com/BLOGS/talkingpolitics/archive/2012/02/15/scotto-s-no-dummy.aspx?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+PHXTalkingPolitics+%28Talking+Politics%29
It seems that a lot of Massachusetts Democrats are convinced that Senator Scotto has done serious harm to his re-election chances by co-sponsoring a bill that wildly overreacts to the recent birth-control coverage controversy. They might be right, but I'd caution that Brown is no political dummy.
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Indeed, Brown is well familiar with the tye of Democratic-identifying crossover voters who he's needed to win in Massachusetts, for state senate or US Senate. They are, in very large part, white, discontented, blue-collar, Irish-American Catholics.
This move checks off the Catholic box. His current push for an Irish immigration bill checks off the Irish-American box. His recent sponsorship of a bill to ban Congressional insider trading checks off the discontented box.
Go ahead and underestimate Scott Brown's political skills. He's used to that. And, he's Senator and you're not.
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