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(54,157 posts)
14. social security adjustments both lag and underadjust for consumer inflation
Mon Jan 10, 2022, 09:46 AM
Jan 2022

the lag is that the cola adjustment is based on the inflation experienced in the last year. so you paid more first, then you get more income to adjust later. so at best there's a temporary cash flow problem.

the underadjustment comes in the way they calculate it. there are a number of reasons, one of which is the substitution adjustment. as prices for different product rise at different rates, people substitute an alternative product that has been rising at a slower rate over a product that has been rising at a higher rate. so the modern way to calculate inflation adjusts for this, giving more weight to the product that has been rising at a slower rate, which obviously lowers the end resulted calculated inflation rate.

there is certainly some merit to to making an adjustment for this. if you start substituting margarine for butter because of this and are really indifferent between the two products, then this adjustment makes sense. however, maybe you do care and see a big difference between butter and margarine, and this adjustment is punishing you for coping with the price fluctuations by effectively not reflecting the cost of switching to an inferior product due to inflation.

so in the end there is a slight underadjustment because of this. there other imperfections in the official inflation adjustments as well, largely motivated by a political desire to control government expenses without being obvious about it.

Yes, it is terrible, I lived thru the 70's, and early 80s progree Jan 2022 #1
Inflation adjusted Median household income is up in 2021 Cicada Jan 2022 #4
OK you got me on the median household income up in 2021 vs. 2020 - thanks to many more progree Jan 2022 #7
Inflation is complicated in practice. unblock Jan 2022 #2
During the year 2021, no lag, median household income rose more than 9%, inflation plus 3 Cicada Jan 2022 #6
... progree Jan 2022 #9
Progee 64% of Americans have a mortgage Cicada Jan 2022 #15
Simulation: The mortgage holders and other fixed rate debt holders benefit in the short run, progree Jan 2022 #26
in the long-run, it's mostly a transfer of wealth from savers to borrowers unblock Jan 2022 #13
Median households in 2021 had 9% income gain, bigger than 6% inflation Cicada Jan 2022 #16
Where are you seeing that income stat? unblock Jan 2022 #17
Here is my source for income outpacing inflation Cicada Jan 2022 #18
There's a lot of good news in the economy especially for the working poor unblock Jan 2022 #22
A lot of us here are on fixed incomes left-of-center2012 Jan 2022 #3
Those getting social security and govt retirement get pay hikes equal to inflation Cicada Jan 2022 #5
Sustained inflation over a long period of time certainly helps Tomconroy Jan 2022 #8
If you believe that the official inflation adjustment applies exactly to your own expenses, it does MichMan Jan 2022 #11
social security adjustments both lag and underadjust for consumer inflation unblock Jan 2022 #14
I agree social security should use a better cola adjustment Cicada Jan 2022 #20
Median household income up 9%? Throck Jan 2022 #10
9% is household income, more spouses got jobs, less part time work Cicada Jan 2022 #21
Inflation affects retired people on a fixed income more than most. Sure we get a COLA raise doc03 Jan 2022 #12
Several hours after my post here CNN stole my story Cicada Jan 2022 #19
When you pay debt you're only funding the billionaires banks. Throck Jan 2022 #23
We need to reduce housing costs Cicada Jan 2022 #24
High inflation increases housing costs MichMan Jan 2022 #25
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