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hatrack

(65,420 posts)
11. This is a press release, not proof of concept or a peer-reviewed scientific paper . . .
Mon Mar 16, 2026, 10:35 PM
Mar 2026

"Fusion, the power source of the sun, is coming to Earth as a disruptive new energy technology." Mkay . . .

"We fervently believe . . . " Yes and I can fervently believe that Quaker State 10W40 is the blood of Christ, that Hitler is living in Brazil, or that Taco Bell sells "food". The fervor of my beliefs has nothing to do with their validity.

"We expect our first ARC fusion power plant will start putting watts on the grid in Chesterfield County, Virginia, in the early 2030s." If it pans out, I'll be happy to applaud accordingly. However, for now it's a self-driving Tesla (flying or otherwise), the Metaverse or New Coke, until proven otherwise.

"A global race for fusion is shaping up: there are now 53 fusion energy companies around the world that have raised over $10 billion in capital." So, $10 billion divided by 53 = +/- $189 million per company. Vogtle 3 and 4 together cost more than $30 billion for two light water fission reactors. Will these 53 companies pool their resources to strain towards a total of (roughly) two orders of magnitude X 0.5 less in funding than that needed to complete two fission units?

Look, I'd be happy to see this succeed, but there's a lot of techno-hopium currently under deployment across multiple technologies and scientific disciplines (geoengineering, AI, autonomous vehicles), and my first reaction to bold announcements like this is skepticism. Sorry if that makes me a "naysayer", but skepticism is more necessary than ever these days, IMO.

Recommendations

1 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Coming soon - "How US States Can Attract Herds Of Unicorns" hatrack Mar 2026 #1
This is not some start-up run by dreamers OKIsItJustMe Mar 2026 #3
Right. I would have said to the naysayer "Can't we have a little optimism?" FadedMullet Mar 2026 #4
Well, as optimistic as I am that we will have commercial fusion soon... OKIsItJustMe Mar 2026 #6
Given our new reality of server "farms" popping up everywhere, you're probably right. FadedMullet Mar 2026 #7
So, imagine we can snap our fingers and tomorrow have a fusion-powered grid OKIsItJustMe Mar 2026 #8
Jeez, where does the other half come from? I know it's not cow farts. FadedMullet Mar 2026 #18
Well, actually, some does come from methane from cows, although they generally belch it out OKIsItJustMe Mar 2026 #20
This is a press release, not proof of concept or a peer-reviewed scientific paper . . . hatrack Mar 2026 #11
One of these fusion startups is in WA thought crime Mar 2026 #21
It's the 75th anniversary of the Princeton Plasma Physics Lab. NNadir Mar 2026 #12
And Edison made a coal burning plant in 1844 OKIsItJustMe Mar 2026 #15
Really? Edison ran a coal plant in 1844, three years before his birth? NNadir Mar 2026 #16
A Star in a Bottle: The Quest for Commercial Fusion OKIsItJustMe Mar 2026 #5
Energy as limitless abundance will outpace all other inputs bucolic_frolic Mar 2026 #2
Hmmm lonely bird Mar 2026 #9
The direct product of the fusion reaction is heat OKIsItJustMe Mar 2026 #10
Sure lonely bird Mar 2026 #13
The great breakthrough of this design OKIsItJustMe Mar 2026 #14
How are they generating the hot plasma? lonely bird Mar 2026 #17
Multiple methods are used to initially heat the plasma OKIsItJustMe Mar 2026 #19
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