Creative Speculation

I report this knowing what will be said: Tuskegee. The Manhattan Project. Engima. Jimmy Hoffa.

The list of conspiracies that remained secret for extended periods of time, and may yet be secret is long. But the list of conspiracies that unravel upon the commission of the crime is even longer. Once the atom bomb exploded, the Manhattan Project's secrecy had a short shelf life, for example. And a conspiracy holding up against dedicated investigation is even more unlikely.

Yet for the 50 years JFK's assassination has been unceasingly investigated by anyone with a mind to do so, no credible evidence of anyone other than Oswald committing the crime has been unearthed. No credible confessions. Nothing has been achieved but the support of a vague, unsupported doubt. No whistleblowers. No peripheral players cashing in on Oprah.

Yes, conspiracies have held. But the experience of humanity has been that on the whole, conspiracies break loose. Credibility is not strained by the conspiracy being exposed, but in the conspiracy holding.

And so the fourth argument against conspiracy in the JFK assassination is the implausibility of such a conspiracy secret.