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Creative Speculation
In reply to the discussion: Here's a correction OP for 50 Reasons, 50 Years OP [View all]William Seger
(11,287 posts)121. But I DID read it, "arguille"
> Pat Speer used measurements which could be explained and duplicated - far more than anything you've ever managed.
And yet he produced a diagram that's absurdly distorted, as is shown by my yellow arrows? It would appear that a more accurate statement would be, "Pat Speer misused measurements..."
> If you had bothered to read the text you would have no basis to say this, although it is predictable that you would have said it anyway.
Wrong again. I read it all the way to the end where he said:
This makes it clear that either 1) the autopsists were incorrect, and claimed a wound roughly 8-9 cm below the bottom tip of the mastoid was 14 cm below the bottom tip of the mastoid, or 2) Kennedy's position in the back wound photo and/or the lateral photo make the wound appear to be higher on the body than it would be in the anatomic position.
This second option seems obvious.
This second option seems obvious.
Or maybe 3) Speer is wrong that the measurement was from the bottom of the mastoid process rather than the "bottom tip." Or maybe 4) Speer's guess about where 14 cm would fall on JFK's body is not accurate. But in other words, even without those possibilites, it's "obvious" to Speer that we should simply ignore what the photos clearly show -- even in his distorted version -- and just chalk that up to some distortion of perspective -- even though he's already over-corrected for that -- and instead assume that the 14 cm measurement and his interpretation of it are both accurate. It's "obvious" to Speer we should ignore the photos even though an X-ray shows a nick on the C6 vertebra, which also puts the bullet path above the throat wound (and along the path in my diagram, by the way), and even though Speer can't explain where this supposed distortion is coming from, since he already attempted to correct for the camera angle. And of course it's "obvious" to Speer that his interpretation of the 14 cm is so correct that we can ignore the verbal description of the path from the same autopsy report:
The other missile entered the right superior posterior thorax above the scapula and traversed the soft tissues of the supra-scapular and the supra-clavicular portions of the base of the right side of the neck. {Empahsis added}
Where does that put the path, "arguille?" Given the absurdity of Speer's diagram, I can't say I'm very impressed with what's "obvious" to Speer. Or to you, since you're still trying to protect your "back-and-to-the-left" delusions by being willfully blind to the forward head-snap and its clear meaning.
> Your argument makes no sense, just as it made no sense when you first offered it.
Well, that just might be why you're a conspiracist and I'm not, which reminds me that I once tried to explain to you that the definition of a "valid" logical inference is that the conclusion necessarily follows from the premises, in the sense that if the premises are true then the conclusion cannot be false. If that isn't the case, then your logic is faulty, whether or not you can recognize the specific fallacy. Compare that definition to your reasoning that if Adams didn't see or hear Oswald when she went down the stairs, then that means Oswald wasn't on sixth floor. I just gave you three different ways your conclusion could be false, and the only response you could come up with is that you don't think those are possible. You say it "makes no sense" to you that's there is in inherent problem with reasoning based on what someone didn't see when there are reasons why they might not have seen something that did happen, or just might not remember it. Why, exactly, should I be influenced by what "makes no sense" to you if what apparently does make sense to you is not valid logic?
> "Wm Seger", you introduced yourself on this thread as skeptical but open-minded, and gradually it has been revealed that you are a partisan propagandist who spends apparently much of his time working on deceptive diagrams supporting the Single Bullet Theory and reading up on Neutron Activation Analysis. As a propagandist, you are by nature and trade impervious to reason, to argument, to analysis.
I've been a JFK conspiracists twice in my life, "arguille," once after I read a couple of books by conspiracy hustlers in the late 60s, and once after the HSCA and the "acoustic evidence" of a 4th shot. I thought the yarns spun by the hustlers was convincing when I didn't know all the facts and hadn't examined their arguments carefully, and I thought the acoustic analysis was very scientific until I learned that the very premise of it was too flawed for the math to mean anything. Sorry, but I'm older and wiser now, and "open-minded" and "self-delusional" aren't the same thing. You simply do not appreciate how weak your evidence and arguments are, and you will never know how open-minded I am until you actually have something that's convincing. True, after 50 years, I'm not holding my breath, but you never know...
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Thanks for posting, I watched the first 9 videos from the links in your earlier posts.
eomer
Feb 2013
#1
Episode Three: Bill Simpich speculates that Oswald was part of "false defector" program
William Seger
Feb 2013
#13
Episode Five: John Armstrong again, speculating about "two Oswalds" again
William Seger
Feb 2013
#16
On posting the videos as they come out each week, and on your being blocked for it...
eomer
Feb 2013
#7
I followed the discussion and I thank you for having, by far, the more reasonable approach.
NYC_SKP
Feb 2013
#14
It would appear that the poll speaks for who's more interested in the videos...
MrMickeysMom
Mar 2013
#19
Clicking on your posts, hoping that maybe this time there will be something
William Seger
Apr 2013
#86
"...but the single-bullet theory remains the best explanation of the facts."
MrMickeysMom
Apr 2013
#87
c) Seger dismisses information on Oswald's history and background as unsubstantial
William Seger
Mar 2013
#30
The minutes of the first Commission meeting, and I provided the link (n/t)
William Seger
Apr 2013
#81
Baloney. It's not a "rhetorical device" to demand FACT-based DEDUCTIVE reasoning
William Seger
Mar 2013
#56
I have only watched the first first video and half of the second, so they might address that point.
ZombieHorde
Apr 2013
#103
Well, I suppose the earth being round remains a point of contention since some believe it is flat...
zappaman
Apr 2013
#111
In other words, Fiester has NO CLUE the 2.5" forward head-snap even happened
William Seger
Apr 2013
#123
What's refuted is your bizarre interpretation of "contemporary ballistic science"
William Seger
Apr 2013
#143
I really don't understand why you keep responding if that's the best you can do
William Seger
Apr 2013
#155