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Health

In reply to the discussion: Closed case numbers on COVID-19 [View all]

Turbineguy

(38,613 posts)
3. Except you are looking at
Wed Mar 18, 2020, 02:05 PM
Mar 2020

numbers that are not related in time. People who die were infected 3 weeks earlier. People who get it, have no symptoms or mild symptoms and recover at home are not part of these numbers.

In Washington state, for every positive test, there are 10 negative. That means that for every person who has it, 10 people (or their Doctors) think they have it.

It's a jumble of numbers. The media reports the large number (the number infected) and ignore the number recovered or active.

I think you get a much better idea by looking at "new infections" and then watch when these numbers start getting smaller as happened in China.

Think of this analogy: 1000 people apply to go to a college in September. Later next year in June, 100 people graduate. How are these numbers related? What can we obtain from these numbers? Does this mean that only 10 percent graduate?

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Closed case numbers on COVID-19 [View all] TXPaganBanker Mar 2020 OP
No. We don't know and might never know, because those numbers reflect The Velveteen Ocelot Mar 2020 #1
I think we are running about 6% gibraltar72 Mar 2020 #2
Except you are looking at Turbineguy Mar 2020 #3
Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Health»Closed case numbers on CO...»Reply #3