Gun Control & RKBA
In reply to the discussion: The most effective and most often used murder weapon [View all]jimmy the one
(2,717 posts)beevul: You cannot validly claim that is true over time, just because it is approximately true for one year.
Put your money where your big mouth is and cite 1 year in the last 30 in which it wasn't true.
tortoise: The numbers as stated in the post .. come out to around 0.1% of gun owners killing someone in their lifetime.
I think I have a way to explain this. I feel remiss for not having thought of it sooner.
beevul's signature line: 99.9 percent of gun owners do not shoot or kill anyone. Focus on the .1 percent who misuse guns, and leave the rest of us who don't, and our guns, the hell alone. Member of the 99.9 percent.
If we go with 100,000,000 (100 million) gun owners, 0.1% of them = 100,000. So beevul's current premise is that 0.1%, or approx 100,000 gun owners, do not shoot or kill anyone, ever, in their lifetimes. His figures are indeed borne out close enough to a one year crime report on gunshot injury by shooting or killing. Remember that is for one year only.
So, in the year we are in, 2016, we can estimate that 100,000 gun owners will shoot or kill someone this year.
However, beevul & tortoise claims fall apart, since it assumes that none of the other 99.9 million gun owners alive in 2016 have EVER SHOT OR KILLED ANYONE in their past lives.
Which is utterly ridiculous & unsustainable to the both of youse.
Obviously you are wrong. Readers can see how wrong you are now. Such a simple solution.
As readers can see, beevul's signature line is contending that 99.9% of all gun owners in existence during the year 2016, have not shot anyone. This is untrue.
The true percentage of gun owners over a drop back period up to 75 years as stated previous, will not conform to the pure statistical result of approx 5% - raising 99.9% to the nth degree where n = number of years in dropback, due to a complex input involving inter alia gun owner death, recidivism, gun owner & population growth, but it will be far more than 0.1% which beevul's sig line contends.
Beevul needs edit his signature line to read 'for one year only'.