Gun Control & RKBA
In reply to the discussion: Let's call them what they are: [View all]jmg257
(11,996 posts)"According to the FBI, in 2012, there were 8,855 total firearm-related homicides in the US"
2014 = 8,124
2,000 gang-related is closer to 25%.
Yet there is more to it then that - in Chicago alone..."nearly 3,000 people were shot in 2015" - much more then then the 2,000 national number you sited. And if they know who will be responsible 70-80% of the time?!? Good news!!
SO not sure how many of the various cities' incidents are gang related. Drugs are a big factor too (though may be often related)
"In Newark, drug trafficking, particularly of marijuana and prescription pills, is the main cause of the uptick in gun violence, said Eugene Venable, director of the Newark Police Department. He also said the recent removal of state police, who had been stationed in the city to assist the local police, was to blame in part for the shooting increase."
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"In {Chicago} of 2.7 million people, about 1,400 are responsible for much of the violence, Mr. Johnson said, and all of them are on what the department calls its Strategic Subject List.
So far this year, more than 70 percent of the people who have been shot in Chicago were on the list, according to the police, as were more than 80 percent of those arrested in connection with shootings."
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"This isnt unique: in Cincinnati, less than 1 percent of the citys population was responsible for 74 percent of homicides in 2007.
...
Americans need to think beyond guns, and to confront the underlying social and economic problems that cause gun violence. Programs like these are proving it is possible to significantly reduce gun deaths without new gun-control measures and without breaking the bank."
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"Miles Wernick, a professor at the Illinois Institute of Technology, created the algorithm. It draws, the police say, on variables tied to a persons past behavior, particularly arrests and convictions, to predict who is most likely to become a party to violence.
We are targeting the correct individuals, Police Super Mr. Johnson said. We just need our judicial partners and our state legislators to hold these people accountable.
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{various articles quoted}
Sure obviously lots of offenders will not so identifiable, but at least in many locals, it is known who will be responsible 70-80% of the time. Lots of incidents can be prevented before they occur through various programs, policing and legislator action.