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flamin lib

(14,559 posts)
3. Actually the polls were quite close to the outcome.
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 04:04 PM
Nov 2016

I watched the aggregated polling several times a day on 538 for the month preceding the election. 11 days out HRC was ahead 5-7% in almost all demographics, excluding non college educated white males. Polls were close on college educated white males but she had an edge. Senate polls mirrored the presidential polls.

Then James Comey dumped his letter announcing a new inquiry into HRC's emails. Beginning four days after the letter the polls began to narrow until the weekend before the election there was 2% or less difference and the trend was downward for HRC. The senate polls continued to mirror the presidential polls. Given that she actually won the popular vote by 1.5% and climbing I'd say the polls were dead on.

It was voter suppression among the weak HRC supporters that threw the election, not gun control.

That's registerd voters....per the page... Nancyswidower Nov 2016 #1
Actually the polls were quite close to the outcome. flamin lib Nov 2016 #3
"It was voter suppression among the weak HRC supporters ..." Nancyswidower Nov 2016 #4
Meet your own standards.nt flamin lib Nov 2016 #7
I've met mine....your control group banned me... Nancyswidower Nov 2016 #8
I think I did. If you refuse to accept it so be it. nt flamin lib Nov 2016 #9
No you didn't. TupperHappy Nov 2016 #10
Popular vote by more than 2 million . . . didn't seem to hurt. nt flamin lib Nov 2016 #11
232 to 306 didn't help either discntnt_irny_srcsm Nov 2016 #12
Exactly. TupperHappy Nov 2016 #13
Maine and Nebraska do that now discntnt_irny_srcsm Nov 2016 #14
Cheetoface McTribblehair yagotme Dec 2016 #22
Of course 90% don't... ileus Nov 2016 #2
Well, they know at least as much about UBCs as they do about AWBs. Eleanors38 Nov 2016 #16
So polls are more accurate sarisataka Nov 2016 #5
As far as I understand shadowrider Nov 2016 #6
There is such an existential quality about politics lately. Eleanors38 Nov 2016 #17
No, just a comforting delusion when your POV gets dropkicked by actual voting results... friendly_iconoclast Nov 2016 #18
Since I support UBCs, the polling is a secondary matter. Funny thing about polls, lately. Eleanors38 Nov 2016 #15
I'm honored. Kang Colby Dec 2016 #19
Typical. My information, regardless of how much or how diverse or how reliable flamin lib Dec 2016 #20
You win. Kang Colby Dec 2016 #21
More victories like we had in '16 shadowrider Dec 2016 #23
Jeez, with all these victories being declared, why's everybody so upset? Eleanors38 Dec 2016 #24
Because the anti-gun stance shadowrider Dec 2016 #25
You guys remind me of the first grade kid in Cleveland blowing a whistle flamin lib Dec 2016 #26
So outside of that tiny sliver sarisataka Dec 2016 #28
I note that your question was studiously avoided by your interlocutor. friendly_iconoclast Dec 2016 #29
Gun control, IMO, is a microcosm of the problems in the Democratic Party.... Eleanors38 Dec 2016 #27
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