2016 Postmortem

SheenaR

(2,052 posts)

47. If it were today

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Apr 22, 2016, 11:56 AM

Apr 2016

he would probably win zero, and I have made my support well known.

Definitely depends on the GOTV operation this weekend and into next week. The 5 million calls placed (not all connected) in the final days of NY shows the extent of the effort, but the result was clearly was in the other direction.

Now we have 5 to spread the effort around. I have canvassed here in RI. There's some funny business here but it's not fraud. We are just broke and they are cutting costs at the cost of democracy. The real funny business is that they have delayed the release of polling until after Sec. Clinton's visit (because Gov. Raimondo who is angling for a national position is projected to have an approval rating in the low 20s). But I digress

RI is in play for sure, but a lot of unaffiliated voters are turning to Trump. Nobody will believe me, but RI will be tougher than ususal in November.

MD and DE to me are done deals for the Secretary. CT is close and PA will need a turnaround fast for Sanders to win.

Just my $.02 on the ground and on the phones.

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There are five primaries next Tuesday. How many will Senator Bernie Sanders win? [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 OP

Where is the button for zero wins? n/t SFnomad Apr 2016 #1

Hate to say it, but I think he may be shut out. morningfog Apr 2016 #2

There isn't much polling for Delaware and Rhode Island DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #6

Delaware will likely go as PA goes. And MD. auntpurl Apr 2016 #24

Fucking Zero. nt LexVegas Apr 2016 #3

Enough to send some people here into a fit of apoplexia. hobbit709 Apr 2016 #4

Would I be an arrant pedant if I pointed out the word is apoplectic? DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #7

Maybe RI firebrand80 Apr 2016 #5

All of them. NCTraveler Apr 2016 #8

RI may be close, but the rest should be in the 55-45 range Tarc Apr 2016 #9

the answer is as it always was restorefreedom Apr 2016 #56

New York gives her a good bounce so its a sweep. DCBob Apr 2016 #10

Let's see: Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #11

But there will still be a path! Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #12

Even the flying unicorns aren't buying it Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #15

That's perfect! Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #16

That not amused unicorn made me LOL. Beacool Apr 2016 #51

The DE Poll is from Gravis. I have cited them but their record is far from stellar. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #14

Agreed. MD and PA look solid, CT is pretty good. RI and DE are tossups with DE leaning HRC. Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #18

Microsoft Bing has her at 65% in DE DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #21

Wow. So you think Gravis is underestimating her lead in DE? Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #23

Delaware skews more affluent and African American. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #27

I'm gambling on RI Blue_Adept Apr 2016 #13

All of them :) Marrah_G Apr 2016 #17

Your enthusiasm is laudable. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #22

I'll be generous and say 2, but they will be close and won't be enough to make up his deficit Arkansas Granny Apr 2016 #19

probably depends on the level of "shenanigans" 2pooped2pop Apr 2016 #20

I say One because one of them is open, I believe. He does better in those. IamMab Apr 2016 #25

Which one is open? DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #30

I see Rhode Island listed as "semi-closed," but I don't know what specifically is different there. IamMab Apr 2016 #31

Indiana is an open primary state and early voting has been going on for weeks. B Calm Apr 2016 #50

Thank you. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #53

Bernie wins RI. Hillary wins the rest. yardwork Apr 2016 #26

It depends on how well the Debbie Dino Fix works. -none Apr 2016 #28

The plural of anecdote is not data. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #29

Or as I like to say, "Anecdotal evidence isn't evidence at all." nt IamMab Apr 2016 #32

Not to be picayune but technically it is evidence DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #34

Well, I think fleeing NY before the polls closed was one way of showing the internal polling. IamMab Apr 2016 #35

Did you miss the part about the people "I" know? -none Apr 2016 #43

If the campaigns were manipulated let the VT independent release ... DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #44

How about we start with this: -none Apr 2016 #46

Let him release the internal polling he spent millions on to prove the actual votes are wrong. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #48

What of this then? -none Apr 2016 #55

There are discrepancies in any election. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #58

What does your constant single source reliance on the Vermont independent have to do with anything -none Apr 2016 #60

Random allegations of fraud from disgruntled supporters... DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #61

Reality is not your friend. Beacool Apr 2016 #54

Reality is my friend, so I reject your premise. -none Apr 2016 #57

She'll win most of the next states, that's what will happen. Beacool Apr 2016 #62

We'll see. -none Apr 2016 #63

All of them. And he will simultaneously retroactively win the ones he lost, too. Arkana Apr 2016 #33

Hillary's biggest problem is not Bernie Sanders WhenTheLeveeBreaks Apr 2016 #36

My day doesn't begin until someone invokes the Indictment Fairy. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #37

It's as predictable as the sunrise. MoonRiver Apr 2016 #40

Well at least that poster did so obliquely. DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #41

Yep, there's that. MoonRiver Apr 2016 #42

Maybe he snags Rhode Island.... Adrahil Apr 2016 #38

Gotta love the folks voting 5. Nothing like blind optimism. NT Adrahil Apr 2016 #39

If there're shenanigans like the reduced polling places in RI or purged voters like NY for instance. nc4bo Apr 2016 #45

If it were today SheenaR Apr 2016 #47

Probably one or two. Beacool Apr 2016 #49

There appears to be at least six Bernie Bros ... salinsky Apr 2016 #52

I'm betting somewhere between zero and five. zappaman Apr 2016 #59