Democratic Primaries

Aquaria

(1,076 posts)

3. Oh--and if you know what to look for in polls

Thu Mar 12, 2020, 05:51 AM

Mar 2020

You can trust them. They're far more accurate than you realize.

Scary accurate.

As for this particular poll, it has some very strong indicators that it's reliable. First of all, it has has a 2.5% Margin of error. That is crazy good. 3% is considered the gold standard. If you're under that, then your poll is more likely to be reliable.

Second, the poll comes from UNF's Public Opinion Research Lab, and they have a good reputation for reliable polling. I think 538 gives them an A/B grade, which means they're solid. Maybe not the very best, but definitely quite trustworthy. When the final results come out, they won't be far off.

Unless there's some kind of breakdown of the system, like undue election interference.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Florida poll shows Biden with staggering 44-point lead over Sanders [View all] Denis Enko Mar 2020 OP

Great.. the more the better.. BS needs to get Cha Mar 2020 #1

Will bs ever get the message no matter how bad he loses? n/t zackymilly Mar 2020 #8

Yeah, you're right Cha Mar 2020 #24

Yes, if he loses by a huge margin he may get the hint. redstatebluegirl Mar 2020 #27

Or not. Cha Mar 2020 #29

You betcha! Hi Cha! redstatebluegirl Mar 2020 #30

Aloha, redstatbluegirl! Cha Mar 2020 #32

I was going to post somewhere that I expected something between Aquaria Mar 2020 #2

Oh--and if you know what to look for in polls Aquaria Mar 2020 #3

Turnout?? OKNancy Mar 2020 #4

Florida allows absentee voting for all registered voters. Aquaria Mar 2020 #5

I voted absentee for Bloomberg in Florida several weeks ago Awsi Dooger Mar 2020 #25

That's the third recent poll like that for Florida Jarqui Mar 2020 #6

Sanders chances are pretty minimal now, for sure. ramen Mar 2020 #13

I've heard it alleged that he's trying to add delegates to improve Jarqui Mar 2020 #15

I haven't heard that and don't think it would be a great idea as a strategy ramen Mar 2020 #17

He's way down in the polls. Squishing him is just carrying on Jarqui Mar 2020 #19

Well, you keep telling yourself that Aquaria Mar 2020 #33

Wow! 66-22 honest.abe Mar 2020 #7

complete humiliation of sanders from here on out and the perhaps the beachbumbob Mar 2020 #9

The pivot on DU about this conversation has been fascinating. ramen Mar 2020 #14

He only won one small state. Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #23

Yeah I remember when JFK gave mountain grammy Mar 2020 #16

No we don't have to, but if we don't win nothing happens. redstatebluegirl Mar 2020 #31

I'm realistic about this election too mountain grammy Mar 2020 #34

I am disappointed that Sanders is not dropping out. Lonestarblue Mar 2020 #10

This looks like a mandate for Biden's moderate approach to progressive policy. honest.abe Mar 2020 #11

As much joy as you find in the poll results, You may want to consider... Ford_Prefect Mar 2020 #12

The tribe has spoken NCProgressive Mar 2020 #22

Well said mountain grammy Mar 2020 #36

Not surprising since Sanders praised Castro MiniMe Mar 2020 #18

When Bernie made ythose remarks, he looked to be riding high Vogon_Glory Mar 2020 #37

All the voting blocs in FL dislike him and the debate will not change that. Scurrilous Mar 2020 #20

Who woulda thunk NCProgressive Mar 2020 #21

I'm sure it looked harmless in Burlington, VT. N/t Vogon_Glory Mar 2020 #38

Yes if this holds yes Bernie exit should be by next week. FloridaBlues Mar 2020 #26

It's over RandySF Mar 2020 #28

sanders not dropping out is going to hurt him Gothmog Mar 2020 #35

what about biden vs trump in FL ? garybeck Mar 2020 #39

Basically tied with amazingly low number of undecideds Awsi Dooger Mar 2020 #40

sanders comments on Castro are hurting sanders Gothmog Mar 2020 #41