Democratic Primaries

bluewater

(5,420 posts) Mon Mar 23, 2020, 10:32 PM Mar 2020

Are Biden's falling polling numbers due to the Pandemic? [View all]

In both 538's and The Economist's polling trackers Biden's polling numbers have fallen off and Sanders have gone up over the last two weeks.

Biden now at 53% vs 40% for Sanders at the Economist:

https://projects.economist.com/democratic-primaries-2020/

and Biden at 51.1% vs 33.8 for Sanders at 538:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/

Is this an emerging trend as people are influenced by the coronavirus pandemic?

Will the delay in holding primaries work to Sanders advantage if this is a trend?

Is this why Bernie Sanders has refused to drop out of the race?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

81 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Are Biden's falling polling numbers due to the Pandemic? [View all] bluewater Mar 2020 OP

Sanders is surging Legends303 Mar 2020 #1

No, he's not. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #5

Please don't ignore Biden's corresponding drop off in both major polling trackers trackers. bluewater Mar 2020 #12

I can't believe that you think that Bernie's supposed 40% puts him in a good position pnwmom Mar 2020 #37

LOL wut? Aquaria Mar 2020 #31

Noone is MFM008 Mar 2020 #47

Except for the people who scan the Democratic Primaries forum. ;-) (n/t) thesquanderer Mar 2020 #69

This is the Internet equivalent Codeine Mar 2020 #64

Oh, honey! Ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha! NurseJackie Mar 2020 #66

Sanders is surging? It may be a medical issue, but we don't know his medical history, so who knows? zackymilly Mar 2020 #67

.... ehrnst Mar 2020 #80

No SiliconValley_Dem Mar 2020 #2

Possibly. Sanders would need to win out at a 30% margin to win regardless. I am skeptical of polling Anon-C Mar 2020 #3

I believe you are correct. bluewater Mar 2020 #7

In the general, yes. Unless the balance of AAs, suburban women and college-educated whites in the... Anon-C Mar 2020 #13

Again, I believe you are correct. bluewater Mar 2020 #14

Why do you have a Biden icon? brush Mar 2020 #19

Why would I not? bluewater Mar 2020 #23

Sanders has refused to drop out because he's Sanders. Nothing new. brush Mar 2020 #26

re: "after he lost the Michigan Primary because those blue wall states are vital in the GE" thesquanderer Mar 2020 #72

Why not? thesquanderer Mar 2020 #70

Sanders is down from ten days ago. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #4

Sanders is up on 538 since 3/7. bluewater Mar 2020 #9

Well Big Tuesday was 3/10, and Biden polled pretty well there. Anon-C Mar 2020 #29

National polls are meaningless in regards to the nomination. Aquaria Mar 2020 #34

Ohio poll True Blue American Mar 2020 #43

Or Bust, I presume? PubliusEnigma Mar 2020 #6

Sanders needs to win 60+ percent of all the remaining votes frazzled Mar 2020 #8

I just did the math: Sanders needs to win 64% of the remaining delegates. W_HAMILTON Mar 2020 #41

Pandemics are what pandemics are. NCProgressive Mar 2020 #10

+1000 bluewater Mar 2020 #11

I predicted customerserviceguy Mar 2020 #15

Sanders appeals to his usual 30%, but the rest of the contests feature diverse... brush Mar 2020 #16

The Economist has Sanders up to 40% at the moment. bluewater Mar 2020 #17

No rallies, no surge. brush Mar 2020 #21

And again, national numbers are meaningless. Aquaria Mar 2020 #35

Want proof that Arizona is smarter than Florida? BidenBacker Mar 2020 #62

It does not matter. This race is over. Nt helpisontheway Mar 2020 #18

I agree. bluewater Mar 2020 #20

No, BS refuses to drop out because he's trying to remain relevant Aquaria Mar 2020 #36

I support Biden but it seems he has disappeared the last doc03 Mar 2020 #22

So has Sanders, to be honest they both have. bluewater Mar 2020 #24

Someone has to be out doing something Trump doc03 Mar 2020 #28

Look what some of Trump's devotees just did in my state BidenBacker Mar 2020 #59

Stop promoting this right-wing meme Aquaria Mar 2020 #38

1% True Blue American Mar 2020 #44

Thank you.. you are Dead On! I don't how some Cha Mar 2020 #50

+++ still_one Mar 2020 #53

Biden is True Blue American Mar 2020 #45

Balderdash. nt Codeine Mar 2020 #65

Biden was all over the place today. LakeArenal Mar 2020 #79

Ask yourself this William769 Mar 2020 #25

Ask yourself this bluewater Mar 2020 #27

Have fun trying to get Sanders the nomination. William769 Mar 2020 #30

Have fun trying to get me interested in a strawman argument. bluewater Mar 2020 #32

And the answer still remains that you're referring to national polls Aquaria Mar 2020 #49

oooh BidenBacker Mar 2020 #60

Not since South Carolina Aquaria Mar 2020 #39

It's over showblue22 Mar 2020 #33

Sanders is losing. Badly. quakerboy Mar 2020 #40

The hate fest is coming from those trying to deflect. True Blue American Mar 2020 #46

Sure there is. Plenty of reasons quakerboy Mar 2020 #68

This is the normal noise you see in polling. Sloumeau Mar 2020 #42

There was polling every day until 3/20. jorgevlorgan Mar 2020 #48

The only numbers that matter are primary election results and Sanders decisively lost. ucrdem Mar 2020 #51

What is the point of this OP other than to undermine the presumptive nominee? TexasTowelie Mar 2020 #52

yup, and the OP has a pattern of doing this still_one Mar 2020 #54

I'm aware of the pattern. TexasTowelie Mar 2020 #56

Well said Texas still_one Mar 2020 #58

If you only want to see pro-Biden posts, isn't that the whole purpose of the Biden 2020 group? nt thesquanderer Mar 2020 #71

Thankfully, this particular group will be closed in a few months TexasTowelie Mar 2020 #73

Maybe sooner, if Sanders withdraws. Might depend on when Joe hits 1991? n/t thesquanderer Mar 2020 #74

And I wish that Bernie would withdraw now instead of later. TexasTowelie Mar 2020 #75

I'd like to point out BidenBacker Mar 2020 #55

Good Analysis, Sir The Magistrate Mar 2020 #77

When wil Joe broadcast and on what site? tirebiter Mar 2020 #57

Biden's Remarks Today: Sloumeau Mar 2020 #63

Don't worry BidenBacker Mar 2020 #61

Ha MustLoveBeagles Mar 2020 #78

Sanders will have to win 80% in every remaining state just to pull even. RandySF Mar 2020 #76

An update - on Monday 538 forecast Biden to get 1081 of the remaining delegates, Sanders 545.... George II Mar 2020 #81