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Democratic Primaries

former9thward

(33,424 posts)

4. The last Washington Post poll had Biden ahead by 7.

Reply to UncleNoel (Original post)

Sun Mar 29, 2020, 08:09 AM

Mar 2020

Now its 2, so he has gone down 5 points. You may dismiss enthusiasm but people who have run campaigns don't. It is a important factor. Historically the Republican candidate does better in polling in the summer and early fall. That is when pollsters start to poll likely voters instead of registered voters. Republicans usually do better among likely voters.

As we know, Trump does not need to win the popular vote. He can win the electoral college with 46-47% of the popular vote. Ignore that if you wish.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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31 replies

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Highlight:

Biden leads Trump in new polls despite coronavirus approval bounce [View all] UncleNoel Mar 2020 OP

whoever gave trump* that bump have changed their minds pretty quickly! samnsara Mar 2020 #1

The fact that it's this close is disturbing. NT enough Mar 2020 #2

His bump will fade. What is significant is that despite the bump, he is trailing. That alone is very UncleNoel Mar 2020 #3

Every time True Blue American Mar 2020 #11

My first boss told me something BidenBacker Mar 2020 #24

My PhD prof used to say about Deans, UncleNoel Mar 2020 #31

We have to keep working as if Joe is BEHIND....! lastlib Mar 2020 #6

Exactly! I won't feel confident until after I see Trump departing the White House forever. LiberalLoner Mar 2020 #10

Those numbers add up to 96 percent total jimfields33 Mar 2020 #14

Same here Rebl2 Mar 2020 #15

The last Washington Post poll had Biden ahead by 7. former9thward Mar 2020 #4

Sanders, Harris, Buttigieg had the enthusiasm. Bidenwon the votes. UncleNoel Mar 2020 #5

They had the enthusiasm among primary voter activists. former9thward Mar 2020 #9

The 'Enthusiasm' Bit Is Nonesense, Sir The Magistrate Mar 2020 #7

Well said! UncleNoel Mar 2020 #12

We dismiss this at our own peril. llmart Mar 2020 #16

Recent Polling Already Shows The 'Rally Round' Boost Is Gone, Sir The Magistrate Mar 2020 #17

People are just tired of the Whining. underpants Mar 2020 #8

Turnout is crucial. UncleNoel Mar 2020 #13

The Washington Post shows that 15% of Bernie supporters will vote for Trump. efhmc Mar 2020 #18

That's tragic Cha Mar 2020 #20

It was a lead on twitter this morning and that is the only reason I know about it but efhmc Mar 2020 #22

Or love the Planet like most of us do? Cha Mar 2020 #27

That's it BidenBacker Mar 2020 #26

Hope it works better than the last time. efhmc Mar 2020 #28

Me too BidenBacker Mar 2020 #29

Mahalo, Noel. No way should the trumpVirus Cha Mar 2020 #19

Approval polls and election polls are two different things BidenBacker Mar 2020 #21

Two of those three polls have it well within the MOE. totodeinhere Mar 2020 #23

That lead is too small for my taste Promisep Mar 2020 #25

2 points is a lead? Polybius Mar 2020 #30