Biden 2020

Biden is on a very strong track. According to a lot of these early numbers, Joe is beginning to build the broad coalition that pushed President Obama to victory. His numbers in South Carolina are nearly 50%, a lot of which is based on the strong ties and relationships the man has nurtured over decades. That's going to serve him well when voting actually starts.

Another thing I caught on the recent Harris poll published by the Hill: the number of people identified as moderate to conservative was really large, vastly outnumbering the liberal to lean-liberal numbers. Somewhat disappointing. I would have expected those numbers to be closer. But it underscores Pelosi's warning: if we want to win, if we want to obliterate Trump and his enablers (as we must) then we need to support the center-left mainstream.

This isn't the only poll that reflects this. Upshot at the NYT published a study early in April indicating the largest swath of Democratic voters are in the middle, center left. That's where the votes are, not on social media, be it facebook, Instagram or Twitter where the voices herald Sanders, AOC and Democratic Socialism. That's not where the bulk of the Democratic Party lives; it's just not.

We can't say we haven't been warned this time out.