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Warren 2020

In reply to the discussion: Great new poll for Elizabeth [View all]

griffi94

(3,830 posts)
6. Thanks for posting this here
Sun Sep 8, 2019, 01:21 PM
Sep 2019

Since it's the primary, I'm going to speculate a little bit here.
The polls, even the ones showing Biden still holding a commanding lead, show Warren gaining ground.
A large part of Biden's support is from people who view him as the most electable candidate. If Warren continues to
cut into his lead and the perception of his "electability" is called into question, I expect a moderately sized exodus from Biden to Warren.

My other prediction is that without a win or top 2 finish in the first 3 contests, Bernie will stagnate. I'm sure he will
hang in until the bitter end, but he'll start bleeding voters that are mostly going to go to Warren.

I think Warren has the most wiggle room in the first few contests.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Great new poll for Elizabeth [View all] jcgoldie Sep 2019 OP
I've always believed she'd be the nominee JenniferJuniper Sep 2019 #1
It is great news Bradshaw3 Sep 2019 #2
She and the other Dem Pres candidates are cilla4progress Sep 2019 #3
I think she will lock-in the female vote mysteryowl Sep 2019 #4
Delegate Projection crazytown Sep 2019 #5
Thanks for posting this here griffi94 Sep 2019 #6
Very encouraging! NotHardly Sep 2019 #7
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