Warren 2020

Does anyone really believe we'll go from our current mess to Medicare For All in one swoop? I sure don't. I bet that should Warren win, we'll see a phase-in plan, with Medicare immediately available for the uninsured, and then for those who are desperate for decent coverage unlike their current plan (it's so nice to hear all the concern for people who want to keep their plans, but really, try living in the rural south with one of the horrible plans available there - let's see how many really want to keep them!). Once that huge raft of people hit the system hard, and find out it's a good thing, I bet the majority of people, regardless of their plan, will start clamoring for it. But it's going to take a few years for a phase-in. If, in that time, enough people still want to keep their plans, there may be some options for insurer-based offerings, etc. My bet, though, is that most insurance companies will transition to supplemental programs because it won't be worth fighting the exodus. There might be a few survivors like the companies offering the alternative Medicare plans.