General Discussion

As I said before Almost all incumbents win. You only looked at presidents. And only presidents in the US. You need to expand your research. And 10 out of 45 is not a third. It is about 22%.

Well since our polling system is reliant on phone interviews and nobody is answering their phones anymore. You need to take all polls with a giant grain of salt.

In the last 3 major elections 2016, 2020 and 2022 the polls got it wrong. Polls have been getting worse and worse because people aren't answering unknown phone numbers and the people who do, are kind of different.

The fewer and fewer people taking polls causes the pollsters to use some not always reliable math to extrapolate what the full population of voters would do. In many cases, even in favorabilty polls, the pollster may be working with single digit samples sizes.

Small samples cause big problems. All that to say the only really reliable polls anymore are in-person large sample size polls which cost a lot to do.

Biden explained his poor performance at the debate and the American people are willing to accept that. He's not perfect. But American voters are not abandoning him. He is a very viable candidate. Kamala would be a bait and switch and the American voter would see through that.

You need to take your energy for a replacement candidate to the RNC. Pedo Trump should drop out of the race and put Vance in. At least Vance is younger and doesn't come with sexual abuse findings, Epstein as a BFF, stolen secret documents and business fraud felon convictions. Not to mention Pedo Trump's dementia and psychopathy.

It's really crazy that Dems are pushing for the guy without the felon convictions to drop out.