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Fiendish Thingy

(18,768 posts)

13. Polling averages are useless due to Red Wave manipulation.

Sat Oct 12, 2024, 09:12 AM

Oct 12

We know Harris has the superior ground game (unless Elon has secretly, magically created an efficient, effective GOTV operation with his billions), and those of us in the reality based community will have to accept the fact that we are flying blind and anyone who claims to know the state of the race or the odds (*cough* Nate Silver *cough*) is lying.

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MarineCombatEngineer ArkansasDemocrat1 CosmicSloth mzmolly

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I'm Done [View all] gab13by13 Oct 12 OP

RSO rso Oct 12 #1

Enough to cement her victory. nt MarineCombatEngineer Oct 12 #5

K & R malaise Oct 12 #2

Can't argue with that, MarineCombatEngineer Oct 12 #3

Don't blame you at all...nt Wounded Bear Oct 12 #4

I had to reconsider, but still feels like 17+M beatdown to me. Brainfodder Oct 12 #6

This made me smile, thanks! nt Jmb 4 Harris-Walz Oct 12 #10

I think the Democrats will vote bigly...................... Lovie777 Oct 12 #7

My guess is that she will win the popular vote by 14 to 15 million! SheltieLover Oct 12 #8

I trash all the poll threads. Lets me focus on more reliable, informative ones. wnylib Oct 12 #26

Great idea! SheltieLover Oct 12 #30

I've been avoiding them for about a week or so. Too much other fascinating things to read to bother with useless Jmb 4 Harris-Walz Oct 12 #9

Same same, gab!! Such a pointless exercise, I'm over and OUT Leghorn21 Oct 12 #11

I forget which recent Pennsylvania poll showed in its sampling details that it had left OUT Philadelphia (!) hlthe2b Oct 12 #12

And...they chronically under sample POC PortTack Oct 12 #37

Polling averages are useless due to Red Wave manipulation. Fiendish Thingy Oct 12 #13

With you don't trust them Tree Lady Oct 12 #14

100% agree. I will also avoid clicking on 'countdown number of days to the election' Tadpole Raisin Oct 12 #15

I've been saying 10,000,000 plus KS Toronado Oct 12 #16

i think you are off by et tu Oct 12 #17

I just went to my "Trash" option Mossfern Oct 12 #18

I blocked over 5 phone numbers and a least 9 text messages on Thursday alone Attilatheblond Oct 12 #24

Exactly! SHe-It Oct 12 #19

I'll settle for an eight-point margin of victory Rocknation Oct 12 #20

I'm with you. Joinfortmill Oct 12 #21

Polls are bullshit Puppyjive Oct 12 #22

I trashed them. onecaliberal Oct 12 #23

I agree. Trash can time. nt yagotme Oct 12 #25

I've known that, nothing is going to change for me, Butterflylady Oct 12 #27

With you - and I think they are used to demoralize TBF Oct 12 #28

We must remember that 'election season' is a huge cash cow for all of the media. PatrickforB Oct 12 #29

It's funny - I NEVER read those posts. qwlauren35 Oct 12 #31

Amen LilElf70 Oct 12 #32

I'm no longer anxious about this election. disappearingboy Oct 12 #33

Sounds good. Ishoutandscream2 Oct 12 #34

Agree republianmushroom Oct 12 #35

Good for you! Haven't given the polls any attention for the last 3 election cycles PortTack Oct 12 #36

Welcome to the club! SalviaBlue Oct 12 #38

I am so with you birdographer Oct 12 #39

I put all polls immediately in the trash. ananda Oct 12 #40

Dem Strategist Rosenberg: GOP is creating fake polls jfz9580m Oct 12 #41

Just Get To Work Aepps22 Oct 12 #42

These polls are like the Farmer's Almanac Oneironaut Oct 12 #43

Take a look Blue Full Moon Oct 12 #44

The remaining question is, "will a double-digit popular vote for president, provide a solid senate and house majority?" jaxexpat Oct 12 #45

Thank you and amen. Polls have no impact on me bronxiteforever Oct 12 #46

I'm ignoring them all. maveric Oct 12 #47

We are going out on that field and kick ass, eom! Emile Oct 12 #48

I trust most Americans RANDYWILDMAN Oct 12 #49

I don't trust most Americans. They were stupid enough to elect Trump once, and even once... RidinWithHarris Oct 12 #62

In a post truth world, the lie is both King and Jester. Prairie_Seagull Oct 12 #50

With apologies tongue in cheek to the 60s and 70s... 3825-87867 Oct 12 #51

The Red Mirage. Someone else called it that & I think it's a perfect description of what's going on. CrispyQ Oct 12 #52

Agree 100 percent!! wordstroken Oct 12 #53

Think I'll start quoting the highly respected 13 By 13 National Voter Poll on that NotASurfer Oct 12 #54

I believe Harris will win. Linda ladeewolf Oct 12 #55

I'm an armchair political statistician, so I will continue to pay attention to the polls Jack Valentino Oct 12 #56

How many women are counted in the poll? pwb Oct 12 #57

Here's a positive poll I saw the other day SomedayKindaLove Oct 12 #58

I'm also sick of these BS polls GenThePerservering Oct 12 #59

Remember that Trump's campaign and the GOP are flooding their polls everywhere BluenFLA Oct 12 #60

You're incorrect iemanja Oct 12 #64

The GOP is still dumping junk polls to put out the narrative that they are gaining BluenFLA Oct 14 #73

I agree that worrying isn't helpful or necessary. iemanja Oct 14 #74

Hey, if that makes it easier for you to cope, go for it. But please, don't pretend this is a virtuous response... RidinWithHarris Oct 12 #61

And she will carry all 7 battleground states and surprise! Florida. lees1975 Oct 12 #63

Meanwhile, I'm just tuning in to polls Sympthsical Oct 12 #65

LA LA LA LA LA LA! LudwigPastorius Oct 12 #66

I'm so over the polls My standard reply of "I call Bullshit" types itself. NoMoreRepugs Oct 12 #67

Cellphones killed polls Dorn Oct 13 #68

This Kamala goes tp 11 DoBW Oct 13 #69

I feel the same RT_Fanatic Oct 13 #70

For the most part DemonGoddess Oct 13 #71

Quit them months ago... ColoradoHoosier Oct 13 #72