When CNN's Chief Poll Alarmist Is Telling You To Calm Down... [View all]

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When CNN's Chief Poll Alarmist Is Telling You To Calm Down...
Wednesday, October 23, 2024 at 6:42:43p EDT
Fenris Hero


Maybe its time to take a moment and breathe.

I have issues with Harry Enten and his proprietary data models, but he does make a good point here. Yes, the margins are tight, but the fact is, Harris is leading in the polls, and she is leading consistently. I don’t trust polls in a vacuum, but I do give them credence when they align with other indicators. The idea that Harris is ahead meshes with a lot of other things we’re seeing on the ground and in early voting totals.

The fact is that Harris’s campaign is acting like its a tight campaign and is moving its pieces accordingly, and Trump’s campaign is relying on the chief Twit to drive outreach and is acting like this is going to be a base election. Its not. This is shaping up to be a turnout election, with people fired up and ready to vote.

There are positive signs everywhere for Team Blue. We’ve done a good job of negating the GOPs electoral vote advantage. The senate race in Texas is competitive enough that Ted Cruz is panhandling on Fox News for money. Nebraska’s senate race is competitive, a sentence no one expected to write this year. The early vote totals are leaning our way in the key places. Undecided voters are breaking towards Kamala. GOP attempt to rig the Georgia election appears to finally have been defeated. The GOPs field is pushing election denialism despite all signs showing it's a campaign killer. Harris is racking up endorsements from conservative names at a nearly comical rate. Hell, the freaking Drudge Report is all in on taking down Donald.

Nothing’s settled till the polls close on November 5th, but we’re in the lead going into the last few turns of the race. Every day is now one less day Trump’s campaign has to find something to help him pull ahead. James Comey isn’t coming to his rescue this time. If he wants to win this thing, he has to win this race himself, and that’s a difficult thing to do when all you do is lose elections.