He uses Polymarket. A betting site that is promoted by Trump, Musk and Nate Silver.
"A crypto-powered gambling website called Polymarket. Using digital currencies, gamblers on Polymarket have wagered more than $100 million on the outcome of the presidential race, turning the site into the internet betting phenomenon of the 2024 election....(Nate Silver is on their board)
Elon Musk has promoted Polymarket’s odds on X, calling them “more accurate than polls, as actual money is on the line.” CNN and other news media organizations have featured the projections in their election coverage. And as the market has swung heavily in Mr. Trump’s favor, he has relentlessly publicized the site’s numbers, seeking to create a sense of inevitability about the election’s outcome....
But Mr. Trump’s apparent lead may be an illusion. The odds on Polymarket began favoring him this month after just four accounts, with user names like Fredi9999 and PrincessCaro, bet more than $30 million on a Trump victory, according to an analysis of transaction records by Chaos Labs, a crypto data provider. Polymarket said on Thursday that all four accounts were controlled by one person, whom it described as a French national with a financial services background, without revealing the person’s identity."
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/25/technology/polymarket-election-betting-crypto-trump.html
And it is illegal for any American to place a bet on the site. So, this is merely what filthy-rich foreigners think and want. Do you think Putin would hesitate to put some of Russia's tax payer dollars on it?
The media is creating a Red mirage out of polling. And one of their main tools is an illegal gambling site promoted by Trump, Musk And Nate Silver.
There's plenty good reasons to be hopeful the Kamala will win and win big. Soon the pollsters will be saying Kamala overperformed the polls. Which is pollster speak for we didn't see it coming.
= new reply since forum marked as read