General Discussion

mucholderthandirt

(1,207 posts)

27. I've said it before, it's not any one poll that matters, it's the trending.

Fri Oct 25, 2024, 11:35 AM

Oct 25

Since day one, Harris has trended up. Up from Biden's place at the beginning, up since she was the nominee. Up, up, up. Sure, some down, you have to understand how polls are done and how they're analyzed. But, UP.

And I also think that whatever percentage Harris has, add ten. If she's at 44%, it's really 54%. Subtract at least five from Trump's number, so if he's at say, 34%, he's really 29%. Or lower.

Polls, like statistics, can be manipulated to say whatever you want. When there are other indicators that one person is doing better than polled, you know someone has their finger on the scale.

Also, Harris has no way to go but up. Trump is flatlined, there's really no new supporters for him out there.

I'm no expert, and we still have to work like dogs with voter turnout, and watching for illegal shit going on, but I have an almost zen feeling about the election. (We're going to win, and bigly.) I'm surprised how calm I feel, I wasn't like this before Joe Biden stepped down, even though I was sure he'd win, just very narrowly.

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Highlight:

When CNN's Chief Poll Alarmist Is Telling You To Calm Down... [View all] babylonsister Oct 25 OP

Bless you for posting this. n/t Raven Oct 25 #1

Till HER hand is on the Bible and the words are said... MiHale Oct 25 #2

I have been visualizing that very moment in my mind's eye every morning! callous taoboy Oct 25 #4

We start our return to normalcy the moment Trump's cell door is locked. jaxexpat Oct 25 #17

Once burned... babylonsister Oct 25 #19

Every Time TFG Speaks modrepub Oct 25 #3

Thank you for posting this ... crosinski Oct 25 #5

But .... Shoonra Oct 25 #6

Indonesia has more lenient abortion laws than many red states ffs jfz9580m Oct 25 #7

No... I don't think that I will FBaggins Oct 25 #8

so you're panicking? LymphocyteLover Oct 25 #10

Not the word that I would use FBaggins Oct 25 #18

it's definitely worrisome... my sleep has not been good the last couple of weeks LymphocyteLover Oct 25 #28

also, Trump couldn't be a worst general election candidate and I still don't get how good his polls numbers are LymphocyteLover Oct 25 #9

there are alot of bad polls intended to prop up the Con's chances. Don't pay attention to the polls. See here onetexan Oct 25 #16

I completely understand why Harris needs to emphasize an underdog status. gordianot Oct 25 #11

Thank you, babylonsister, for this note of sanity. Bumbles Oct 25 #12

This is what I've been saying as an amateur PCIntern Oct 25 #13

Push through the tape, but you're right about keeping a OnDoutside Oct 25 #14

Can't tell you how DemonGoddess Oct 25 #15

I wouldn't trust Harry Enten Farmer-Rick Oct 25 #20

bet that "french national" is playing with some rich american's money jcgoldie Oct 25 #21

This is good for my nerves, but Susan Calvin Oct 25 #22

Plus, Democrats have starpower in candidates, surrogates, and pop culture icons bucolic_frolic Oct 25 #23

I hope you're right COL Mustard Oct 25 #24

Agreed; we need a steady hand here; lots of noise out there townie Oct 25 #25

I find it harrowing that this race is close at all. D23MIURG23 Oct 25 #26

I've said it before, it's not any one poll that matters, it's the trending. mucholderthandirt Oct 25 #27