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Figarosmom

(9,395 posts)

47. The difference in the rslly attendence has to count for something

Sun Nov 3, 2024, 10:25 PM

Nov 2024

And those leaving trump rallies early are leaving because they heard or saw something that didn't sit right with them. There is no way it's even close. No way. I still contend the polls were right in 2016 and Comey coming out the way he did just made a lot of Hillary voters give up and stay home. I think they are over correcting the polls to lean too much to the right thinking they under counted trump in 2016.

There just is no way trump has gone over his ceiling of 47% no way. I think he's more likely at 41% ir even lower.

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Sorry, I don't believe Trump is at 49% against Harris [View all] Just_Vote_Dem Nov 2024 OP

Hope you are right... WomanWhoRoars Nov 2024 #1

They have to try to keep the suspense going. Janbdwl72 Nov 2024 #53

Me neither. OAITW r.2.0 Nov 2024 #2

They pretty much dismissed the Iowa Poll. Klarkashton Nov 2024 #3

The campaign isn't taking the poll very seriously either. TwilightZone Nov 2024 #6

You said it not me. Klarkashton Nov 2024 #8

Marcy Wheeler had an interesting take on polls Just_Vote_Dem Nov 2024 #13

I don't expect Harris to win Iowa but it does show a potential shift that was also picked up by previous Selzer polls... Self Esteem Nov 2024 #21

More woman are voting than men Blue_Roses Nov 2024 #37

I don't doubt it's very accurate. Self Esteem Nov 2024 #43

No, but... VeryProgressive Nov 2024 #44

Bingo. nt Quixote1818 Nov 2024 #7

I just watched Rachel spend about 20 minutes saying the Iowa poll is the most accurate poll mucifer Nov 2024 #12

All morning and afternoon the folks on there were Klarkashton Nov 2024 #14

The Iowa poll is thrilling,but realistically an outlier Algernon Moncrieff Nov 2024 #56

I don't believe any Faux pas Nov 2024 #4

It doesn't matter if he is or isn't. The swing states are all that matter. TwilightZone Nov 2024 #5

Yep, thanks for that n/t Just_Vote_Dem Nov 2024 #10

I had the sound down but I was trying to find where Trump had a 48% POTUS approval rating underpants Nov 2024 #9

He doesn't have that now. I can't imagine where this Klarkashton Nov 2024 #15

I just saw Plouffe on. Ari asked about Trump retrospective polling at 48% underpants Nov 2024 #18

Is this a rewrite or nostalgia for shit that didn't happen? Klarkashton Nov 2024 #19

It must be. underpants Nov 2024 #20

I don't either. GoodRaisin Nov 2024 #11

I'm wondering how many registered republicans duncang Nov 2024 #16

Neither do I. ProudMNDemocrat Nov 2024 #17

It makes no sense AZSkiffyGeek Nov 2024 #30

AZ voters must be really stupid or pollsters are kansasobama Nov 2024 #36

With MOE in these polls, 49 could also be 46, which is probably where he's at. Self Esteem Nov 2024 #22

Good point Just_Vote_Dem Nov 2024 #24

Here's some deception in this poll and its announcement. lees1975 Nov 2024 #23

I noticed the non-likely voters too bagimin Nov 2024 #48

I'm dismissing all the polls, even the ones I like. TomSlick Nov 2024 #25

I don't believe it either. That's too insane. Dave Bowman Nov 2024 #26

TSF is at 33% verargert Nov 2024 #27

Only in a sane country Polybius Nov 2024 #35

about 53 hra... and we'll all know WarGamer Nov 2024 #28

Do you think he is higher or lower? Your OP does not indicate which way you think it is wrong. nt kelly1mm Nov 2024 #29

I think he's lower because I don't remember him recently Just_Vote_Dem Nov 2024 #31

I don't either. He's hemorrhaging support. onecaliberal Nov 2024 #32

He's not, polling republianmushroom Nov 2024 #33

I have an issue with Welker and Kornacki kansasobama Nov 2024 #34

Half the country is stupid! Trump keeps telling them everything was great when he was president and they give him credit Doodley Nov 2024 #38

Yes. Tweedy Nov 2024 #39

You're not alone! Glamrock Nov 2024 #40

I think Harris wins by 2 points, with Third Parties combining for 1.5% or less Polybius Nov 2024 #41

I don't buy it for a second LilElf70 Nov 2024 #42

I do SpankMe Nov 2024 #45

I dropped all media reporting last week AverageOldGuy Nov 2024 #46

The difference in the rslly attendence has to count for something Figarosmom Nov 2024 #47

Replying to a poll and actually voting are two different things... EllisWhy Nov 2024 #49

Me neither but that's also why I don't want the major news FirstLight Nov 2024 #50

VonSchitzInPants has no ground game to speak of, has lost some Republican women, has NoMoreRepugs Nov 2024 #51

Got to have the old horse race! Dangling0826 Nov 2024 #52

Not sure what this is moonscape Nov 2024 #54

I can believe it. Septua Nov 2024 #55