Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Showing Original Post only (View all)

Johnny2X2X

(22,889 posts)
Tue Nov 5, 2024, 12:32 PM Nov 2024

How confident are you this election day? [View all]

I think the last week was very good for Harris and bad for Trump, she has the momentum that candidates have right before they outperform the polls. There's a lot of data that shows well for her right now. Early voting was better for her than she needed and the data suggests a lot of Republicans are voting for her, maybe 10%.

I don't think this is a coin flip, I think she's clearly favored but it's not a sure thing.


193 votes, 4 passes | Time left: Unlimited
0-25%
16 (8%)
26-50%
17 (9%)
51-75%
34 (18%)
76-90%
65 (34%)
91-100%
61 (32%)
Show usernames
Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
63 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
If turnout is high, I am confident Johonny Nov 2024 #1
Early reports are turnout is sky high Johnny2X2X Nov 2024 #2
Indeed, I have yet to hear of low or even moderate turnout ANYWHERE. Wednesdays Nov 2024 #12
Early voting is a sign Johnny2X2X Nov 2024 #14
The two last rallies said it all... FirstLight Nov 2024 #3
Does have the feel like she has all the momentum Johnny2X2X Nov 2024 #4
90% mvd Nov 2024 #5
Very sure she'll win -misanthroptimist Nov 2024 #6
Julmur julmur Nov 2024 #7
100% H2O Man Nov 2024 #8
Nice! Elessar Zappa Nov 2024 #42
0-25? Johnny2X2X Nov 2024 #9
Most of the mainstream news sites Diraven Nov 2024 #27
Since when? Emile Nov 2024 #31
Ok maybe I'm just looking at the wrong sites Diraven Nov 2024 #33
The Daily Telegraph bias is politically conservative Emile Nov 2024 #34
pessimistic Homoudont Nov 2024 #44
I voted 51-75 but I'm closer to 75 than 51. Self Esteem Nov 2024 #10
Kamala says we are going to win. Emile Nov 2024 #11
I'm quite confident that Kamala will win but Cairycat Nov 2024 #13
I have been in the bullish group this election season jfz9580m Nov 2024 #15
For me, I started sensing 2008 a couple weeks ago Johnny2X2X Nov 2024 #17
Thanks-interesting post jfz9580m Nov 2024 #20
Coud be more like 2012 Johnny2X2X Nov 2024 #26
Yeah - that does reek of desperation jfz9580m Nov 2024 #28
Not getting hopes up K221 Nov 2024 #30
Welcome to DU AZSkiffyGeek Nov 2024 #32
Seriously? Who did you vote for? marble falls Nov 2024 #40
Optimistic but terrified palustris Nov 2024 #16
Hi fella! GreenEyedLefty Nov 2024 #58
Trump MSG rally really hurt him I think crimycarny Nov 2024 #18
I go back and forth between feeling good and worried Poiuyt Nov 2024 #19
Trust Kamala, she is sure we're going to win. Emile Nov 2024 #23
65% confident Polybius Nov 2024 #21
Coin flip as far as I am concerned exboyfil Nov 2024 #22
I am about 90% confident. NavyDem Nov 2024 #24
26-50% missaj Nov 2024 #25
I think she'll win the vote but it is what Trump does Jarqui Nov 2024 #29
Nauseously optimistic. Bleacher Creature Nov 2024 #35
My grandson who lives with us is voting for president for the first time. mommymarine2003 Nov 2024 #36
My brain tells me we are going to win MaryMagdaline Nov 2024 #37
85% Bullish but not claiming certainty. TheKentuckian Nov 2024 #38
I expect shenanigans from the GOP Blue Full Moon Nov 2024 #39
Probably about 75% but Elessar Zappa Nov 2024 #41
The country I've known for 67 years can't be so broken as to elect one of the worst wiggs Nov 2024 #43
25% confident. Managing to think about other things occasionally. maxsolomon Nov 2024 #45
I'm not loving today. G_KIA Nov 2024 #46
If you click 'Show Usernames' canetoad Nov 2024 #47
You been keeping an eye on them too. Emile Nov 2024 #49
Yep Emile canetoad Nov 2024 #59
Thjank you for pointing this out Johnny2X2X Nov 2024 #50
What a co-winky-dink! FSogol Nov 2024 #54
We're right where we need to be or ahead of schedule Jason1961 Nov 2024 #48
I think the closing rallies echoed the debate Johnny2X2X Nov 2024 #51
You might be right Jason1961 Nov 2024 #56
Confident enough Tweedy Nov 2024 #52
Not very confident. J_William_Ryan Nov 2024 #53
For those of you who haven't yet heard of PoindexterOglethorpe Nov 2024 #55
Confident but... ravjav Nov 2024 #57
Google: Kamala Harris Predicted to Win By Nearly Every Major Forecaster Emile Nov 2024 #60
I was right at 25-50% exboyfil Nov 2024 #61
This didn't age well. nt Javaman Nov 2024 #62
This message was self-deleted by its author jfz9580m Nov 2024 #63
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»How confident are you thi...