General Discussion

I’m not any kind of expert on this so I won’t pretend to know.

The only thing I do know is they’re a Shia majority country surrounded by Sunni regimes that hate them. Every IR expert posits Iran believes they “need” deterrence for historical reasons (and yes, more recently in Persia’s many century long existence - Israel/Jew hatred).

We just nicely showed Iran that they need deterrence from the villainous West too. Whatever forces constrained Iran from going 60-90% enrichment and putting it on a delivery system are now gone.

Iran may superficially agree to negotiations with Traitor and the US but most experts believe Iran doesn’t trust or believe anything we say anymore and will persist in attaining a weapon asap even as they straight up lie to our (and the IAEA) faces. We have no idea where any part of their nuclear program/enriched uranium exists anymore.

Enter James Acton and the OP on the JCPOA…