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Faulty premise: accepting as fact that national polls in September 2023 have any predictive value for swing states in November 2024.

Faulty logic: using the faulty premise above, the author presumes the reason Trump and Biden are supposedly “tied” (and will be tied in November 2024) is because the Democratic establishment doesn’t listen to voters in Republican strongholds, where Biden is unlikely to win in 2024.

Logical logic: rather than waste resources on trying to persuade a small number of “economically anxious” white boomers who hang out in swing state diners to abandon Trump and vote for Biden, instead Dems should focus on the largest untapped pool of reliable, predictable Democratic voters in the country: voters between 18-29. Young voters voters choose Dem candidates more than twice as often as they choose republican ones, something like 67% to 30%, IIRC. Their turnout numbers continue to increase, and without their votes in 2020, Biden would not have won his razor thin victories in GA, AZ, and WI.

It is my understand the DNC and the Biden campaign are launching a voter registration effort this month targeting young voters in certain critical regions.

Let’s hope that kind of logical logic prevails.