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kelly1mm

(5,639 posts)
3. So the Senate match-up is set with Hogan v. Alsobrooks. This has ramifications outside
Tue May 14, 2024, 10:22 PM
May 2024

of Maryland. First, Hogan has name recognition and is/was reasonably popular in this very Democratic leaning state. He can win here although I think he is still an underdog. What it is going to take to beat him is money for ads to tie Hogan to the national republican party. You can't really tie him to Trump as he has always been a vocal critic of Trump. I can see 100M in ad spending needed to beat Hogan.

Second, Trone, the other main Democrat Senate candidate is the multi-millionaire owner of Total Wine and More and has already spent millions of his own money to get his congressional seat and millions in this primary. He had previously said he would spend whatever he needed to win the Senate seat.

Third, assuming Trone closes his wallet, those 100M are going to need to be spent by the DSCC in Maryland to hold this seat, and that is 100M not available to them for helping in OH, MT and AZ.

Not that Alsobrooks is not a great choice, just a great choice that can't self fund her campaign ......

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