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Wiz Imp

(10,092 posts)
9. Despite the loss, this was a HUGE shift to the Democrat.
Tue Apr 7, 2026, 10:30 PM
Tuesday

Looks like the final margin will be about 14%. As a comparison, MTG won it by 29% in 2024, and 32% in 2022. Trump won the district by a whopping 37% in 2024.

As with almost all special elections during Trump's presidency, it is a significant Democratic over performance. Unfortunately, this District is just too Republican to be winable for Democrats, even under extreme circumstances like exist now.

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