Environment & Energy

Last edited Fri Jul 5, 2019, 01:11 PM - Edit history (1)

since Africa now has about the same population as China. Which could happen (same per-capita emissions and GDP as China), since it would be a racist meme (and incorrect) to say they are fundamentally incapable of doing that.

(China now emits more CO2 than the U.S. and the E.U. combined)
https://www.forbes.com/sites/rrapier/2018/07/01/china-emits-more-carbon-dioxide-than-the-u-s-and-eu-combined/#6f580d7f628c

and if Africa's population doubles by 2051 as the UN report predicts, then we will have like 3 Chinas.

and if it reaches 4.3 billion by 2100, again as the U.N. predicts (medium projection), then we will have like 5 Chinas.

https://population.un.org/wpp/
using the Interactive tool

Edited to add - I don't think Africa's population will get anywhere near to either of these levels. When modern contraception is widely available, the fertility rate goes way down. Addis Ababa's fertility rate is at about replacement level, for example (capital of Ethiopia) - Population Connection Magazine, 3/2016 .

And the country of Botswana has reduced it fertility rate to under 3 per woman, and falling.
Population Connection Magazine, 3/2019 .

https://www.populationconnection.org/magazine-archives/