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progree

(12,721 posts)
27. Another reason African women have a lot of children (on average)
Sun Jul 7, 2019, 03:11 PM
Jul 2019
One of the reasons for a low fertility rate is a reasonable assurance that your children will live a long life. In “developed countries” that assurance is greater, so mothers feel less of a need to have a large number of children.


I think that reasoning is fading fast in Africa. What's often lacking though is modern contraception. Hell, "modern contraception" includes the birth control pill, which in actual "usage" in the U.S. has about a 1 chance in 11 per year of failure (9%/year). It's failure rate is much much lower (0.3%/year) when it is meticulously taken as instructed.

From the December 2017 issue of Population Connection magazine, which has all the contraceptives and methods
http://www.populationconnection.org/magazine/december-2017/

In many African nations I suspect the failure rate would be on average higher than 9% as so many live near the limits of survivor in chaotic conditions.

Even in the U.S. .... where nearly half of pregnancies are unintended ... (due to shitty cheap birth control methods like the pill. Results are much better with LARC (long acting reversible contraceptives), such as the implant (0.05% failure rate, but expensive).

From the December 2017 issue of Population Connection magazine, which is focused on male contraception.
http://www.populationconnection.org/magazine/december-2017/

Another is that the attitude of too many men is well ... anyway, many African women feel the need to hide their contraception-taking. That's hard to do with the pill ... and being secretive makes it that much harder to stick to taking every day at about the same time each day.

Whereas the implant, besides being much more reliable, is also hidden.

The "social security" of large families doesn't seem to be a big concern in Addis Ababa (near replacement level fertility) or in Botswana (fewer than 3 children/woman average).

Just getting these impressions from reading Population Connection magazine and various articles from wherever I run into them...

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

I hope humans get their act together but I don't see any action. BlancheSplanchnik Jul 2019 #1
I have decided that the "birth control"/"climate change" meme is racist OKIsItJustMe Jul 2019 #2
I have a hybrid car, rarely drive, keep my temperature affordable BlancheSplanchnik Jul 2019 #3
Your hybrid probably produces less CO₂ per mile than my (old) conventional car OKIsItJustMe Jul 2019 #4
Again, the global population rate is growing and that is a problem. BlancheSplanchnik Jul 2019 #5
The global population is growing. The population growth rate is not. OKIsItJustMe Jul 2019 #6
Since 1980 the world's population growth has been linear, at 80 million per year. The_jackalope Jul 2019 #9
Thank you for explaining so well. BlancheSplanchnik Jul 2019 #18
I would like me to point out that climate change is just one of many impacts from pop. growth NickB79 Jul 2019 #10
Which is more responsible? OKIsItJustMe Jul 2019 #11
Dunno, maths says total waste equals population X waste per capita progree Jul 2019 #16
"low fertility countries lead, by far, in both waste per capita and total waste" OKIsItJustMe Jul 2019 #20
Sounds rosy. But the U.N. also projects a 41% world population increase by 2100 progree Jul 2019 #26
"Population Momentum" OKIsItJustMe Jul 2019 #28
Reducing population growth will help in many ways other than just GHG emissions progree Jul 2019 #29
That may be OKIsItJustMe Jul 2019 #30
And reducing population growth will help. progree Jul 2019 #31
Another reason African women have a lot of children (on average) progree Jul 2019 #27
Mother Nature doesn't give a damn about per capita numbers NickB79 Jul 2019 #23
So... nature only cares about gross emissions for entire nations? OKIsItJustMe Jul 2019 #25
Yes yes absolutely yes. BlancheSplanchnik Jul 2019 #19
Yup. Or nearly 11 billion by 2100, despite those nice declining fertility graphs progree Jul 2019 #7
Yep. BlancheSplanchnik Jul 2019 #8
If you want to decrease the population, cut health care OKIsItJustMe Jul 2019 #13
I donated my farm to Population Connection progree Jul 2019 #15
It is "a modest proposal" OKIsItJustMe Jul 2019 #21
As Dwight said on The Office-- We need a new plague. BlancheSplanchnik Jul 2019 #17
Well, another strategy might be called "World War III" OKIsItJustMe Jul 2019 #22
Sad but true, population control has been war and sickness. BlancheSplanchnik Jul 2019 #24
Don't get me wrong. I'm not against population control. OKIsItJustMe Jul 2019 #12
True, or even if they had a per-capita emission the same as China, we would be screwed progree Jul 2019 #14
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